There is no
denying the fact that the Norwegian rocket incident or Black Brant
scaretalk about to a few minutes of post-Cold War nuclear tautness that took place on January 25, 1995,
more than four years after the end of the Cold War. The incident started when a team of Norwegian and American scientists launched a Black Brant XII four-stagesounding
rocket from the Andøya Rocket Range off the northwest coast of Norway. The rocket, which carried equipment to
study the aurora borealis over Svalbard, flew on a
high northbound trajectory, which
included an air corridor that stretches from the North Dakota Minuteman-III silos all the way to
Moscow, eventually reaching an altitude of 1,453 kilometers (903 mi). Nuclear
forces in Russia were put on alert, and the nuclear-command suitcase was
brought to President Boris Yeltsin, who then had to decide whether to launch a nuclear barrage against the
United States. Notably, there is still no clear and direct confirmation that
the trajectory of the rocket was taken by mistake, caused by computer or other
technical failure. One version of events persists: Using the allies'
facilities, the US were testing the Russian early time detection systems and
response policies, since the status of the Russian defensive-offensive
capacities was considered to be at least questionable after the collapse of the
USSR.
Detection
As the rocket
climbed, it was detected by the Olenegorskearly warning radar station in Russia. To the radar
operators, the rocket appeared similar in speed and flight pattern to a U.S.
submarine-launched Trident missile, leading the Russian military to initially misinterpret the rocket's
trajectory as representing the precursor to a possible attack by missiles from
submarines.
EMP rocket scenario
One
possibility was that the rocket had been a solitary radar-blocking
electromagnetic pulse (EMP) rocket launched from a Trident missile at sea in
order to blind Russian radars in the first stage of a surprise attack. In this
scenario, gamma rays from a high-altitude nuclear detonation could create an
EMP wave that would confuse radars and incapacitate electronic equipment. After
that, according to the scenario, the real attack would start.
Post-staging
After stage separation, the rocket launch appeared on radar similar to multiple re-entry vehicles
(RVs); the Russian control center did not immediately realize that the
Norwegian scientific rocket was headed out to sea, rather than toward Russia.
Tracking the trajectory took eight of the ten minutes allotted to the process
of deciding whether to launch a nuclear response to an impending attack
(Trident submarine missiles from the Barents Sea could reach Russia's mainland
in ten minutes).
Response
This event
resulted in a full alert being passed up through the military chain of command
all the way to President Boris
Yeltsin, who was notified immediately
and the "nuclear briefcase" (known in Russia as Cheget) used to authorize nuclear launch was automatically
activated. It is reported that President Boris Yeltsin activated his
"nuclear keys" for the first time in his tenure. No warning was
issued to the Russian populace of any incident; it was reported in the news a
week afterward.
As a result of
the alert, Russian submarine commanders were ordered to go into a state of
combat readiness and prepare for nuclear retaliation.
Russian
doctrine reportedly allowed Yeltsin ten minutes from the time of detection to
decide on a course of action. Russian observers were quickly able to determine
that the rocket was heading away from Russian airspace and was not a threat.
Reports differ greatly as to whether or not Yeltsin came close to authorizing
an attack, but the general consensus is that Yeltsin was able to conclude that
there was no basis for attack, and therefore no danger. The rocket fell to
earth as planned near Spitsbergen 24
minutes after launch.
Prior notification
The Norwegian
and American scientists had notified thirty countries including Russia of their
intention to launch a high-altitude scientific experiment aboard a rocket,
however the information was not passed on to the radar technicians. Following
the incident, notification and disclosure protocols were re-evaluated and
redesigned.
In view of the above, the Norwegian incident was a symbol of cold war which
had flabbergasted the world not to
involve in physical war in order to avoid destruction, huge loss of property
and energy of the state mechanism. In order to realize the people about the
power and strength of the Rocket lancer, such cold war was inaugurated but it
was a challenge against the modern scientist was handling such phenomena at
that time.
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